Increased exposure to healthier air is a positive note among the many tragic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. As movement was restricted to prevent the spread of the disease, air quality in Colombo drastically improved leading to a 60% reduction in the average duration that people in Colombo were exposed to unhealthy air.
Among the many tragic consequences of the Covid19 pandemic, there have been some positive offshoots as well. One of them being the improvements to air quality in Colombo – as movement was restricted to prevent the spread of the disease.
This insight quantifies the improvements in air quality in Colombo during periods of Covid19 related restrictions. The data in Exhibit 2 shows that air quality in Colombo saw a marked improvement throughout the year and was especially improved during the normal four-month period of peak pollution connected to the Northeast monsoon from November to February. Monsoon patterns can dramatically improve air quality by sweeping away air pollution (Southwest monsoon – currently experiencing) or bring stable air masses (Northeast monsoon), which allows air pollution to remain in the atmosphere over Colombo.
During this period, the duration of unhealthy air quality (or hours spent breathing air categorised as unhealthy) in Colombo reduced from an average of 53% to 22%. This equates to a 60% reduction in the time during which the air is unhealthy. Furthermore, the air quality improvement was especially significant during the daily periods of rush hour traffic.
To explain the data and the findings, it is first necessary to set out how air quality is measured, and how these measures are categorised.
Many adverse health effects have been directly linked to air pollution consisting of fine inhalable particle matter that are 2.5 micrometres or smaller in diameter. This is what is referred to as PM2.5, which is the most widely measured air pollutant worldwide. (An average human hair is about 70 micrometres – about 30 times larger than PM2.5)
Exhibit 1: sets out the standard air quality index, which categories air quality in terms of related health warnings based on the density of PM2.5 (micrograms per cubic meter — µg/m³).
Monthly average duration for each category of air quality that was observed is set out in Exhibit 2. Sensors provide data on an hourly basis as micrograms per cubic meter – µg/m³ – which is then translated into a (colour-coded) health index – AQI (see Exhibit 1 above). Exhibit 2 presents this data as the four colour-coded bands for each month. The pre-Covid19 average (years 2017, 2018, and 2019) is presented in graph 1 and graph 2 presents it for the following calendar year, 2020, capturing the commencement of the Covid19-led slowdown in activity from March 2020. Most notable is the significant improvement in the percentage of ‘Good’ air quality (category A) in 2020, in the months of the Southwest Monsoon, when Colombo typically enjoys cleaner air.
To quantify the Covid19 clean-up of air quality in Colombo, we have focused on comparing the average air quality in the months of November to February (usually the worst months for air quality in the city) from 2017 to 2020, against the air quality observed in November 2020 to February 2021.
The results are set out in Exhibit 3. In the pre-covid period, the air was classified as unhealthy for 53% of the time – falling into categories C and D (unhealthy for sensitive people, and all people, respectively). In contrast, during the period of covid restrictions, the air quality fell into these unhealthy categories for only 22% of the time. This is a 60% reduction in the average time that air quality was unhealthy.
Alternatively, from the perspective of the public that is breathing the air, this could be read as the probability of breathing unhealthy air in Colombo having reduced by 60% during the period of covid restrictions. This improvement was seen to be greater among the categories of unhealthy air. Furthermore, during the period of covid, a person was 4 times more likely to be breathing good quality air than in the pre-covid period.
It is likely that the main contributor to air pollution in Colombo is the emissions from vehicles. Exhibit 4 shows the average air quality, measured by the density of PM2.5 in the air, for specific times of the day in a 24-hour period, for both prior-to and during Covid19 restrictions. This exhibit suggests that the air quality improved the most during weekday rush hour periods during Covid19 restrictions. The improvement in air quality during these same times on the weekends were very much less.
a. The level of emissions from various source points. For example, the more fossil fuels are burned for transport or energy, the more emissions in the air. To improve air quality, we need to target source points and present alternative policy solutions, which are already available but not effectively implemented.
b. The shift in the monsoon. The public is provided a reprieve from otherwise high levels of air pollution thanks to monsoon conditions. This is clearly demonstrated in Exhibit 2, where a significant improvement in Colombo’s air quality is seen between April/May and September/October each year. As such, the monsoon does help mask the air pollution problem.
2. What does the public need to know when interpreting air quality data
a. The Air Quality Index (AQI) measured in µg/m³ translates into a (colour-coded) health index, signifying the potential adverse impact to an individual’s health (see Exhibit 1).
b. The safeguard measures are relatively simple behavioural changes such as avoiding outdoor activity, closing the windows, and wearing an approved mask e.g.N95. Additional measures can be taken in situations where air quality is in the unhealthy category or worse for prolonged periods. For example, in the United States, measures such as setting aside a room in the home with an air purifier is recommended during the bushfire season, so that occupants may retreat into the safe space until air quality improves.
The insight reveals the result of what was effectively a natural experiment – evaluating if the reduction of traffic could lead to improvements in air quality, and by how much? The Covid19 related movement restrictions allowed the collection of data to quantify the change in air quality in Colombo to evaluate the question of a Covid-clean up. Overall, the Covid19 restrictions seem to have led to a 60% reduction in the average duration of time that people in Colombo were exposed to air that was unhealthy.
Note: This insight issue is compiled by Ashani Basnayake and Ranil Dhammapala.
Verité Insights. Vol 9 (4), September 2021.
1 The probability of breathing category D air reduced by 75% while the probability of breathing category C air reduced by 51%.
2 Premasiri et al (2015) Air pollutant exposure levels of passengers using public transport to reach Colombo from surrounding cities, NBRO Symposium Paper, available at: https://www.nbro.gov.lk/images/content_image/pdf/symposia/1.pdf
Disclaimer: Readings of some sensors are not updated due to prevailing situation (power outages and economic constraints) in Sri Lanka.